F. Hoffmann-La Roche AG, Basel, Switzerland
Paul Boutry is presently on foot as a Professor withinside the Department of Medicine. Paul Boutry has authored many studies articles/books associated with Medicine. Paul Boutry is serving as a piece of writing member and reviewer of numerous global reputed journals. Paul Boutry has efficaciously finished his Administrative responsibilities. Paul Boutry studies interests embody Medicine.
Research Article
A COVID-19 Transmission Model Informing Medication Development and Supply Chain Needs
Author(s): Annabelle Lemenuel-Diot*, Barry Clinch, Aeron C. Hurt, Paul Boutry, Johann Laurent, Mathias Leddin, Stefan Frings and Jean Eric Charoin
Objective: We present a country-specific, modified Susceptible, Exposed, Infectious, and Removed (SEIR) model
of SARS-CoV-2 transmission aiming to provide accurate prediction of COVID-19 cases to optimize clinical trial
recruitment, inform mitigation strategies, and facilitate rapid medication development.
Methods: Epidemiological data from more than 170 countries were obtained from the Johns Hopkins University
COVID-19 Dashboard. Intercountry differences in initial exposure, cultural/environmental factors, and stringency
of mitigation strategies were incorporated. Asymptomatic patients and “super-spreaders” were also factored into our
model. Simulations were limited to a period of 2 months considering that the effects of certain parameters (e.g.
seasonality of virus transmission, wearing of face masks, and deploy.. View more»