Biology and Medicine

General Hospital, Kuala Lumpur, Malaysia

Biography

Dr. Danaraj Navaratnam is a professor works at the department of medicine  General Hospital, Kuala Lumpur, Malaysia.He contributed many research works towards science. His reserch intrests are about epidemictrajectory and forecasts.

Publications

• Research Article   
  Analysing Covid-19 Epidemic Trajectories: are Countries Flattening the Curve?
  Author(s): Arnout JW Everts*, Devaraj M Navaratnam, Sumitha Navaratnam and Danaraj Navaratnam
  
  Introduction: We evaluated COVID19 epidemic trajectories of different countries in terms of relative trajectory steepness and anticipated epidemic duration, in other words “flatness of the curve”. Methods: We used open-domain data on COVID-19 reported cases and deaths per country per day. A subset of 47 countries was analysed. Data were fitted with an analytical model following Gompertz equation. Uncertainty pertaining to the model forecasts was also quantified. To relate differences in epidemic trajectories of different countries to the mitigation approach taken by governments of those countries, we made use of the COVID-19 Government Response Stringency Index developed and published by Oxford University and Blavatnik School. Results: Acceptable quality fits were obtained for all the countries with R2 .. View more»
  

  DOI: 10.35248/0974-8369.20.12.465

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