Department of Management on Civil Aviation and Airports, Lusophone University of Humanities and Technologies, Lisbon, Portugal
Research Article
Low Dimensional Chaotic Attractors in Daily Hospital Occupancy from COVID-19 in the USA and Canada
Author(s): Carlos Pedro Gonçalves*
Epidemiological application of chaos theory methods have uncovered the existence of chaotic markers in SARSCoV-
2’s epidemiological data, including low dimensional attractors with positive Lyapunov exponents, and evidence
markers of a dynamics that is close to the onset of chaos for different regions. We expand on these previous works,
performing a comparative study of United States of America (USA) and Canada’s COVID-19 daily hospital occupancy
cases, applying a combination of chaos theory, machine learning and topological data analysis methods. Both
countries show markers of low dimensional chaos for the COVID-19 hospitalization data, with a high predictability
for adaptive artificial intelligence systems exploiting the recurrence structure of these attractors, with more than 95%
R2 scores for up to 42 days ahead prediction. The evidence i.. View more»