Department of Management on Civil Aviation and Airports, Lusophone University of Humanities and Technologies, Lisbon, Portugal
Research Article
Low Dimensional Chaotic Attractors in SARS-CoV-2?s Regional Epidemiological Data
Author(s): Carlos Pedro Gonçalves*
Background: Recent studies applying chaos theory methods have found the existence of chaotic markers in SARSCoV-
2’s epidemiological data, evidence that has implications on the prediction, modeling and epidemiological
analysis of the SARS-CoV-2/COVID-19 pandemic with implications for healthcare management.
Aim and methods: We study the aggregate data for the new cases per million and the new deaths per million from
COVID-19 in Africa, Asia, Europe, North and South America and Oceania, applying chaos theory’s empirical
methods including embedding dimension estimation, Lyapunov spectra estimation, spectral analysis and state-ofthe-
art topological data analysis methods combining persistent homology, recurrence analysis and machine learning
with the aim of characterizing the nature of the dynamics and its predictabil.. View more»