Department of Physics, Nelson Mandela University, Gqeberha, South Africa
Azwinndini Muronga has extended his valuable service for many years and has been a recipient of many award and grants. His international experience includes various programs, contributions and participation in different countries for diverse fields of study. His research interests reflect in his wide range of publications in various national and international journals.
Review Article
A Model of COVID-19 Pandemic Evolution in African Countries
Author(s): Kossi Amouzouvi, Kétévi A. Assamagan*, Somiéalo Azote, Simon H. Connell, Jean Baptiste Fankam Fankam, Fenosoa Fanomezana, Aluwani Guga, Cyrille E. Haliya, Francisco Fenias Macucule, Dephney Mathebula, Azwinndini Muronga, Kondwani C. C. Mwale, Ann Njeri, Ebode F. Onyie, Laza Rakotondravohitra and George Zimba
We studied the COVID-19 pandemic evolution in selected African countries. For each country considered, we
modeled simultaneously the data of the active, recovered and death cases. In this study, we used a year of data since
the first cases were reported. We estimated the time-dependent basic reproduction numbers, R₀, and the fractions of
infected but unaffected populations, to offer insights into containment and vaccine strategies in African countries.
We found that R₀ ≤ 4 at the start of the pandemic but have since fallen to R₀~1. The unaffected fractions of the
populations studied vary between 1%-10% of the recovered cases. .. View more»