Ferran Torres
Spain
Research Article
Short-term Survival in Acutely Decompensated Cirrhotic Patients
Author(s): Angels Escorsell, Ferran Torres, Vega Catalina M, Antoni Mas, José Rios and Mònica Guevara.
Angels Escorsell, Ferran Torres, Vega Catalina M, Antoni Mas, José Rios and Mònica Guevara.
Aim: The present study was aimed at the early identification of the prognostic factors for 30-day mortality in acutely decompensated cirrhotic patients.
Methods: Logistic regression models were used to study the predictors of mortality. Variables significant on univariate testing were included for the multivariate analysis. ROC curves were constructed. The model used retrospective data from 228 patients; and was prospectively validated among 64 patients from the Hospital Clinic: internal validation and 90 patients from Hospital Gregorio Maranon: external validation.
Results: The model identified age at admission, serum concentrations of bilirubin, creatinine and sodium, and INR obtained 2 to 8 days after admission as predictors of death in this population. The resulting risk score was highly accurate: AUROC: 0.9150.. View More»
DOI:
10.4172/2167-0889.1000194